In April 2008, this blogger took note of Lee Kuan Yew’s comments in an interview with Bloomberg. The octogenarian Minister Mentor was defending GIC, the Singaporean sovereign weath fund of which he is Chairman, which had made investments in UBS and Citigroup just months before. I have previously dealt with Citigroup and the prospect of its equity investors being wiped out due to nationalisation. But for this post, the subject of my analysis is UBS.

The Minister Mentor went on the record complimenting the private banking franchise of UBS, citing this as the reason why GIC made a significant investment in the famous Swiss bank:

“The franchise of the banks, the expertise that they have, under proper leadership, they will be able to recover and rise again … Will there be another Swiss bank like UBS for wealth management? I doubt it, we doubt it, that is why we invested in it.” -MM Lee, in a Bloomberg Interview, Apr 08

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Late 2007 and early 2008, GIC made a couple of investments in UBS and Citigroup. A few months later, the stock prices of these investments had declined, but Lee Kuan Yew was quoted in the press as saying:

“The franchise of the banks, the expertise that they have, under proper leadership, they will be able to recover and rise again … Will there be another Swiss bank like UBS for wealth management? I doubt it, we doubt it, that is why we invested in it.” Citigroup, he added, had “an enormous spread worldwide as a retail bank”.

Recover and rise again?

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